Siavash Zamiran was interviewed by The Riverfront Times, a weekly magazine in St. Louis Metro area. The following is the article by Ms. Katie Hayes, The Riverfront Times journalist.
Link of the article
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"While most people associate earthquakes with the West Coast — a price residents pay for sunny beaches and L.A. glamour — here's a sobering fact: Missouri is also at risk for a major earthquake.

"Although the earthquakes in the Midwest are less frequent, their effects are wider," says Siavash Zamiran, a civil/geotechnical engineer at Marino Engineering Associates in St. Louis. "There is a lot of probability of another earthquake happening, but not much public awareness of that."

In the next 50 years, there is a 25 to 40 percent chance of an earthquake magnitude six or higher hitting the region. There is a 7 to 10 percent chance of a magnitude seven or higher, as found by the United States Geological Survey. 

How big is that? The Loma Prieta earthquake, which famously interrupted the 1989 World Series in San Francisco, crumpling the upper level of the Bay Bridge, collapsing a freeway and causing 67 deaths, reached a magnitude of 6.9.

In other words: It's big.

The cause for concern stems from the New Madrid Seismic Zone — a major seismic zone between the Missouri Bootheel and Memphis, Tennessee.

But that doesn't mean you need to start packing for a safe space. Not yet.

Greg Hempen is a geophysicist who retired from the United States Army Corps of Engineers and now serves as a consultant for the Missouri Seismic Safety Commission. The commission is part of the Missouri State Emergency Management Agency, or SEMA.
"The greatest hazard is from the New Madrid in our area, but that doesn't mean every place in St. Louis will be equally devastated," Hempen says. "The principle threat to structures and residences is in the floodplains. Most people in the uplands should not be too adversely affected."

More than 200 years ago, New Madrid suffered through an earthquake from this seismic zone. The New Madrid Historical Museum, located in the Missouri Bootheel, has testimonies from people who experienced a series of three magnitude 7 earthquakes between 1811 and 1812.
One testimony is a letter sent by William Leigh Pierce to the editor of the New York Evening Post in 1811. It reads, "At New Madrid, 70 miles from the confluence of the Ohio, and on the right hand, the utmost consternation prevailed among the inhabitants; confusion, terror and uproar presided; those in the town were seen running for refuge to the country, whilst those in the country fled with like purpose towards the town. I am happy, however, to observe, that no material injury has been sustained."

Should another earthquake of that magnitude hit, however, the damage would be considerably worse than it was 200 years ago.

"People in 1811 and 1812 were mostly self-sufficient," Hempen says. "They built their own structures. If the structure was only damaged a little, they could repair it. If it was damaged a lot, they could stay with a neighbor until the community repaired it." Today, of course, our lives are more complicated — and our edifices more elaborate.

Masonry buildings, those made with brick and mortar, are the most susceptible to earthquake damage. 

"We have some specific issues in St. Louis," Zamiran says. "One is that our buildings are more masonry buildings. So they are built with bricks, without any structural frames, without steel or concrete. They are very vulnerable."

Hempen, however, notes that he lives in a masonry structure that was built in the 1950s and has accepted the risk. While earthquakes are a concern in the region, Hempen says they are not the only hazard people should prepare for.

"I think there is a variety of things people should do short of preparing structures and preparing renovations," Hempen says. "There are many programs for all hazards. I think people should consider a variety of things. One is, do they have a hazard plan, an emergency disaster plan? If there is an evacuation, do they have an emergency list of what they should have?"

Two of the programs Hempen discusses are the Great Central U.S. ShakeOut and Map Your Neighborhood — both meant to educate people in the region about disaster preparedness.

Eight states would be directly affected by an earthquake from the New Madrid Seismic Zone. James Wilkinson, executive director of Central U.S. Earthquake Consortium, brings together emergency managers from each of those states. He says Missouri and the eight states he represents are fully engaged in earthquake emergency update with FEMA.

"Folks need to understand the earthquake is not a West Coast thing exclusively," Wilkinson says. "We have active faults, manmade and naturally occurring. It's important people take time to do research about where they live and the susceptibility they have to earthquakes. Just because there is a threat doesn't mean it has to be all encompassing."​"

Current seismic design criteria for retaining wall structures suggested by different organizations are based on estimating seismic earth pressure of the wall using analytical solutions (e.g. AASHTO 2012; Campos 2008). Different guidelines including AASHTO and Caltrans consider pseudo-static analytical solutions to identify seismic earth pressure (AASHTO 2012; Campos 2008). The first analytical attempt as a pseudo-static method to evaluate seismic earth pressure of retaining walls was suggested by Okabe (1926) and the method was verified in retaining walls with unsaturated and cohesionless soil material by Mononobe and Matsuo (1929) using shake table test results. The method developed by these investigators is known as Mononobe-Okabe (MO) method and is still widely used to determine seismic earth pressure of retaining walls. MO procedure is an extension of Coulomb theory and is based on limit equilibrium method and assumes an occurrence of a failure wedge in the backfill. MO method considers the earthquake acceleration is uniform in the backfill and is applied to the center of gravity of the failure wedge.
 
There are also many studies that evaluated the total seismic earth thrust (Pae) experimentally (Agusti and Sitar 2013; Al-Homoud and Whitman 1999; Atik and Sitar 2009; Nazarian and Hadjian 1979; Prakash 1981; Seed and Whitman 1970) and numerically (Atik and Sitar 2009; Bui et al. 2014; Elgamal and Alampalli 1992; Green et al. 2008; Green and Ebeling 2003; Psarropoulos et al. 2005; Scotto di Santolo and Evangelista 2011; Wilson and Elgamal 2010; Woodward and Griffiths 1996). Specifically, Seed and Whitman (1970), hereafter abbreviated as S&W, conducted different centrifuge tests on retaining walls with cohesionless backfill materials and provided a simple equation for determining Pae, which linearly correlates with horizontal earthquake peak ground acceleration (PGA). Their experimental-based estimation has been used in design guidelines for evaluating Pae, e.g., US Army Corps of Engineers (Whitman and Liao 1985). It is worth mentioning that the earthquake acceleration intensities for the mentioned numerical and experimental studies were limited to PGA ground motions of 0.2g to 0.4g. In most of these studies, the cohesion factor of backfills and hysteretic behavior of soil were also neglected.
 
Guidelines by AASHTO and state Departments of Transportations require the use of granular materials as backfill for retaining wall constructions as backfills with fine and cohesive material are sensitive to swell, shrinkage, and degree of saturation (AASHTO 2012; Campos 2008; Murinko 2010). However, according to field observations in several cases, backfill materials have a various amount of cohesion (Kapuskar 2005). Kapuskar (2005) conducted field observations of more than 100 retaining wall and abutment backfills used in 20 different bridge sites in the State of California. It was concluded that out of 20 bridge sites, 15 of them had sandy backfills with low plasticity fines that had cohesion up to 95 kPa.
 
Seismic response of retaining walls considering backfill cohesion has been taken into account analytically (Das and Puri 1996; Prakash and Saran 1966; Shukla et al. 2009; Shukla and Bathurst 2012; Vahedifard et al. 2014). Most of these approaches were developed based on an extension of MO method with consideration of backfill cohesion, wall adhesion, and tension cracks in cohesive backfill materials. The MO-based methods have restrictions to be used for backfills with different soil layers and complex geometries. Therefore, analytical methods based on trial wedge procedure has been proposed for backfills with various layers of soil or complex geometries (Anderson et al. 2008).
 
In addition to analytical solutions, some experimental and numerical investigations have also been conducted to evaluate the effects of backfill cohesion on seismic response of retaining walls there are some limited experimental and numerical studies are available that assessed the effect of cohesion on seismic response of retaining walls (Agusti and Sitar 2013; Mikola et al. 2014; Wilson and Elgamal 2010, 2015, Zamiran and Osouli 2014, 2015). The limitations of these studies are: 1) the wall response with a variation of backfill cohesion was not considered; 2) the Pae, its point of action, and induced moment under full seismic analyses were not considered; 3) the representative hysteretic damping and shear reduction of the backfill materials have not been considered. Also, these studies focused on the effect of either single soil cohesion parameter or single PGA.
 
In this study, seismic response of retaining walls is evaluated for cantilever walls with cohesive sandy backfill materials via fully dynamic analysis (FDA). A constitutive model accounting the hysteretic behavior of soil during dynamic loading excitation is utilized. A validated numerical approach based on centrifuge test results is used to conduct the FDA. The effect of three earthquake ground motions and backfill with various cohesions on seismic earth pressures, total seismic earth thrust coefficient (Kae), incremental seismic earth thrust coefficient (ΔKae), the location point of action of Pae, and wall moment variations during the shaking event are studied. The results of FDA are compared to estimations based on current analytical solutions. Finally, recommendations are provided for considering the effects of backfill cohesion in seismic response of cantilever retaining walls. 

​

The news of GeoConfluence Research Scholarship earned by Siavash Zamiran is reflected in SIUE news webpage. 
The content of the news is provided in the following:
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SIUE’s Zamiran Earns Inaugural Geoconfluence Research Scholarship
14 November 2016, 1:18 PM
​Southern Illinois University Edwardsville research assistant Siavash Zamiran has been awarded the inaugural GeoConfluence Research Scholarship from the St. Louis Chapter of the Geo-Institute of American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE). He was recognized during GeoConfluence, the association’s annual conference, on Friday, Nov. 4 in St. Charles, Mo.
Zamiran is a doctoral candidate in the SIUE School of Engineering’s Cooperative PhD Program in Engineering Science with Southern Illinois University Carbondale. The scholarship will support his dissertation research, “Seismic Investigations of Retaining Wall Structures.”
“This scholarship funding will be used for developing a program that assists engineers through the nation to design retaining walls based on earthquake characteristics in their specific seismic zone” said Zamiran. “My future professional goal is to continue engineering research with experimental and numerical studies, and increase my publications in conferences and scientific journals. I would like to be active in different areas of geotechnical engineering in both academic and industrial environments.”
The GeoConfluence Research Scholarship promotes research in the field of geotechnical/geoenvironmental engineering, particularly that which will benefit the state of practice in the Midwest and can be implemented by regional engineers.
Zamiran’s extensive research activity during his doctoral studies includes the study of retaining walls’ behavior during earthquakes, subsidence and stability evaluation of Illinois coal mines, and the study of levees due to flooding and soil erosion, among other projects.
The scholarship includes up to $3,000 to be used for specific educational tools and equipment, materials and travel needed to fulfill a thesis/dissertation. As part of the award, Zamiran will present his research results at a future GeoConfluence conference.
Photo: (L-R) Siavash Zamiran, doctoral candidate and GeoConfluence Research Scholarship recipient, Pravin Jha, chairman of the GeoConfluence Research Scholarship Subcommittee, Kord Wissmann, president of Geo-Institute, and Sandeep Goud Burra, scholarship recipient.

The news of ADSCE Award earned by Siavash Zamiran is reflected in SIUE news webpage. The list of winners of 2016-2017 ADSC award is presented here.
The content of the news is provided in the following:
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"13 October 2016, 9:40 AM
​The Southern Illinois University Edwardsville School of Engineering Cooperative PhD Program in Engineering Science is training the next generation of creative thinkers and innovators who will continue the advancement of the engineering industry.
Graduates of the program receive a doctor of philosophy degree from Southern Illinois University Carbondale. The program’s memorandum of understanding designates SIUE as an approved residence center where coursework can be completed using the SIUE School of Engineering’s state-of-the-art laboratories for research and instruction.
“The goals of this program are to expand the high-quality educational opportunities in the doctoral level to students at SIUE by utilizing the educational resources available at both SIUE and SIUC,” said Keqin Gu, PhD, program director and distinguished research professor in the School of Engineering’s Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering.
“Students are especially pleased with the opportunity to work closely with outstanding faculty on the frontiers of engineering and science topics,” he added. “All past graduates of this program are employed as senior level engineers or faculty members at universities.”
Among the 18 students currently enrolled in the program, research assistant Siavash Zamiran has received multiple accolades for his research projects conducted in the SIUE soil laboratory. Zamiran is the 2016 recipient of the International Association of Foundation Drilling’s (ADSC) internationally acclaimed Endowed Civil Engineering Graduate Study Scholarship.
“The receipt of this scholarship is incredibly motivating, as it is well-known in the geotechnical and civil engineering communities,” Zamiran said. “My future professional goal is to continue engineering research with experimental and numerical studies. I would like to be active in different areas of geotechnical engineering in both academic and industrial environments.”
Zamiran’s extensive research activity during his doctoral studies includes the study of retaining walls’ behavior during earthquakes, subsidence and stability evaluation of Illinois coal mines, and the study of levees due to flooding and soil erosion, among other projects.
Abdolreza Osouli, PhD, P.E., assistant professor in the Department of Civil Engineering, serves as Zamiran’s faculty advisor through the cooperative PhD program.
“With Siavash’s motivation, I have been able to direct him to excellent performance in all capacities of teaching, research and professional service,” Osouli said. “Students in this program have opportunities to engage with a multitude of educational and scholarly activities that can be helpful for their future professional careers.
“This program enhances critical thinking and helps the students be self-driven. Consequently, it trains students to be developers of creative ideas in the engineering industry.”
Zamiran will be acknowledged for his receipt of the coveted scholarship during the ADSC annual meeting in February 2017 in Palm Springs, Calif.
Students enrolled in the SIUE and SIUC Cooperative PhD Program may pursue a broad spectrum of engineering disciplines, including civil engineering, computer science, electrical and computer engineering, industrial engineering, and mechanical engineering.
For more information on the program, visit siue.edu/engineering/phd/index.
Photo: (L-R) Abdolreza Osouli, PhD, assistant professor of civil engineering, research assistant Siavash Zamiran, and Keqin Gu, PhD, cooperative PhD program director and distinguished research professor in the SIUE School of Engineering."

Foundations on claystone with swell potential may experience upward movement and failure. In this case study, the cause of 5.8 cm upward movement of drilled-in piers is analyzed using survey data, extensometer readings, and moisture content monitoring of claystone at the site. Swell laboratory tests were conducted to characterize the swelling characteristics of the weathered rock. A swell potential analysis for deep foundations is presented, which accounts for the group behavior of the piers. The interaction of the group piers with the swelling rock was considered in analyzing the initiation of the upward movement. Furthermore, a novel inverse analysis method was presented to integrate the swell laboratory test results and numerical modeling to identify the representative swell pressures acting on group piers as well as upward movement of the pier system. The behavior of the pier group foundation in swelling rock under various pier spacing and superstructure pressures are discussed. 
The results has been recently published in the journal of Geotechnical and Geological Engineering. For more details please click here.
To read full article please click here.